Even though the stock market has climbed its way back into bull-market territory, don’t forget: Several factors could easily send it lower. At just over 4300, the S&P 500 is now about 20% above 3577, the lowest closing price seen in the recent bear market. That level, reached in early October, left stocks 25% below the record high hit in early 2022. A gain of 20% from a low technically marks the start of a new bull market, which matches a recent surge of optimism. A Barron’s cover story this
Morgan Stanley’s investment chief called 2022’s bear market, and he says stocks are still hibernating—he sees a 14% drop ahead
“With the S&P 500 rally now crossing the 20% threshold, more are declaring the bear market officially over. We respectfully disagree,” Mike Wilson wrote Monday, arguing corporate earnings are set to fall.
Wall Street’s Once-Hot Trades of 2023 Are Unraveling in Markets
The once-hot Wall Street trades of 2023 are all falling apart, in a fresh blow to market pros blindsided again and again ever since the pandemic broke out.
The next big threat hovering over the U.S. economy
Some $1.5 trillion in mortgages will come due in the next two years, a potential time bomb as higher interest rates push down property values.
Why This Might Be the Year to ‘Sell in May and Go Away’
“Sell in May and go away” is an old adage in the stock market, and it might be especially applicable this year. Markets have risen significantly of late, with the S&P 500 up about 16% from a low point in early October. The gains are driven by expectations the Federal Reserve will soon pause its interest rate increases as the rate of inflation has declined, providing less incentive for the central bank to rein in economic demand. Now, the market is running into a wall. The S&P 500, at just over…
Insider selling could be signaling recession and a stock market selloff
5 signs that stocks and the U.S. economy face a rough summer.